Azerbaijan has taken a strategic step by beginning natural gas supplies to Syria — a move that could shift the regional balance of power and strengthen Baku’s influence in the Middle East.
Writing for Attaqa, energy expert and senior visiting fellow at George Mason University Dr. Umud Shukri described the deliveries as part of “a carefully calibrated regional strategy that blends geopolitical influence with economic interests.” According to him, Azerbaijan is extending its energy diplomacy beyond Europe and the Caspian, entering the Middle Eastern market via Turkey.
The project, Shukri noted, enables Baku to establish direct links with Syria’s new government while deepening ties with Ankara. By leveraging key energy infrastructure, Azerbaijan positions itself as a “soft power” player — shaping regional dynamics without resorting to military force.
Participation in Syria’s reconstruction, particularly in its war-damaged northern regions, also enhances Azerbaijan’s image as a constructive regional actor. Crucially, the gas initiative offers Damascus an alternative to long-standing Iranian influence. “While Iran has been the Assad regime’s main backer, Azerbaijan’s involvement — supported by Qatar and Turkey — provides a different model of engagement. This allows Baku and its allies to expand their reach,” Shukri stressed.
The tripartite partnership, with Qatar providing financial backing, is shaping into a growing alliance capable of influencing regional trends and supporting Syria’s recovery.
“The project fosters regional stability by improving prospects for a diplomatic settlement while reviving Syria’s economy and energy sector. Through trade and infrastructure, this cooperation could lay the groundwork for peace in the Middle East and serve as a model for similar initiatives,” Shukri said.
Overall, the initiative marks a new phase of regional integration, where energy diplomacy plays a pivotal role in conflict resolution, political influence, and economic rebuilding.
