Unseasonably warm and unusually dry weather continues to linger across Azerbaijan, despite the calendar edging deeper into autumn.
While this time of year typically brings steady rainfall, most regions have seen almost no precipitation. Temperatures remain above seasonal norms, prompting a wave of public questions: Is a severe winter on the horizon?
Meteorologist Javidan Aliyev offered an explanation in comments to azxeber.com, noting that the current conditions are the result of large-scale atmospheric patterns rather than early signs of an extreme winter.
“Recent warm and dry days are linked to Azerbaijan’s position on the southwestern edge of the Siberian anticyclone,” Aliyev said. “Additionally, western air currents have been moving along a northern trajectory, preventing cold masses from descending into the region.”
According to the expert, the dry spell should not be interpreted as a warning of a harsh winter ahead.
“There are years when a dry autumn is followed by strong bursts of cold air in winter,” he explained. “Sometimes that brings wet snow or a mix of rain and snow. For example, November 2002 was also dry, yet by December Baku saw heavy snowfall – up to 50 centimeters. But today’s mild weather alone says nothing definitive about the coming winter.”
